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Jacksonville JaguarsLeQuint Allen Jr.
#5 · RB · 6' 0" · 201 lb · 9 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 9 of these 9 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Syracuse
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 10.2 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutLeQuint Allen Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Jaguars coach Liam Coen told O'Halloran on Friday morning that he "fully anticipates" a larger role for Allen, who played just one snap in the season opener against Cleveland after missing training camp and the preseason with a hip injury. Ameer Abdullah is a capable replacement on passing downs, but it sounds like Coen still prefers Allen there once he gets back to full strength. It's not a role that will involve many touches, and even the snap count could be in single digits some weeks.
Verdict
vs 9.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 58% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
11.0 RUSH YDS(×1.18 context)
L5 12.0 · L10 10.2 · med 10.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.6 · ceil 11.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Last 209 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Season9 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 9.5Current | 56% | 5/9 | |
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 |
Situational splits
Over 9.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away100%3/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days63%5/8Low
Next matchup — vs NE
Sep 27, 2026
24thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
NE allows 36.5 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 9 games, LeQuint Allen Jr. has gone over 9.5 RUSH YDS 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. NE has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 24th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (36.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 10.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.