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Jacksonville JaguarsLeQuint Allen Jr.
#36 · RB · 6' 0" · 201 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Jan 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Syracuse
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 10.2 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutLeQuint Allen Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
With Travis Etienne -- who recorded 260 carries and 36 catches in 17 regular-season games for the Jaguars in 2025 -- now with the Saints, Bhayshul Tuten, Chris Rodriguez (foot) and Allen are slated to lead the team's backfield in 2026. As a rookie seventh-rounder last year, Allen played in all 17 regular-season contests, while logging 23 carries for 94 yards and catching 10 of 11 targets for 54 yards. As the team looks to reallocate Etienne's touches, Allen is a candidate to see an uptick in work this season, notably in passing situations, while Tuten and Rodriguez pave the way on early downs. As a result, Allen could end up on the fantasy radar in deeper PPR formats.
Verdict
vs 9.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 55% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)67supports it
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
10.2 RUSH YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 12.0 · L10 10.2 · med 10.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 2.6 · ceil 11.8
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Last 209 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Season9 games
56%over
5 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 27%–81%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 9.5Current | 56% | 5/9 | |
| 33% | 3/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 | ||
| 22% | 2/9 |
Situational splits
Over 9.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%2/6Low
Away100%3/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days63%5/8Low
Last matchup — vs BUF
Jan 11, 2026
7thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
BUF allows 53.0 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 37 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 9 games, LeQuint Allen Jr. has gone over 9.5 RUSH YDS 5 of 9 decided times (56%) — versus 56% across the full season. BUF has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 7th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (53.0 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 10.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 56%.