Jacksonville Jaguars

LeQuint Allen Jr. Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

LeQuint Allen Jr. has gone over 2.5 FS in 3 of his last 9 decided games (33%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Syracuse
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 2.2 FS · our line

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OutLeQuint Allen Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

With Travis Etienne -- who recorded 260 carries and 36 catches in 17 regular-season games for the Jaguars in 2025 -- now with the Saints, Bhayshul Tuten, Chris Rodriguez (foot) and Allen are slated to lead the team's backfield in 2026. As a rookie seventh-rounder last year, Allen played in all 17 regular-season contests, while logging 23 carries for 94 yards and catching 10 of 11 targets for 54 yards. As the team looks to reallocate Etienne's touches, Allen is a candidate to see an uptick in work this season, notably in passing situations, while Tuten and Rodriguez pave the way on early downs. As a result, Allen could end up on the fantasy radar in deeper PPR formats.

Verdict

vs 2.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 56% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)96supports it

Projection vs line56neutral

Consistency45neutral

Projection

2.4 FS(×1.10 context)

L5 2.4 · L10 2.2 · med 2.2

Consistency

Variable

floor 1.8 · ceil 2.7

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 109 games

33%over

3 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–65%

Last 209 games

33%over

3 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–65%

Season9 games

33%over

3 over · 6 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–65%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	9/9
	78%	7/9
2.5Current	33%	3/9
	11%	1/9
	0%	0/9
	0%	0/9

Last 9 games — FS per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%3/6Low

Away0%0/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days38%3/8Low

Last matchup — vs BUF

Jan 11, 2026

9thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

BUF allows 11.9 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 37 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 9 games, LeQuint Allen Jr. has gone over 2.5 FS 3 of 9 decided times (33%) — versus 33% across the full season. BUF has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 9th-most FS of 32 teams (11.9 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 0.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 33%.