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Las Vegas RaidersMike Washington Jr.
#4 · RB · 6' 2" · 228 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Arkansas
- Experience
- Rookie
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 42.4 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutMike Washington Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Per Ryan McFadden of ESPN.com, Kubiak said that he "absolutely" believes that Jeanty can be a bell cow running back, but at least for the time being, he looks like he'll be part of a timeshare with Washington. Jeanty has seen his carry count drop or hold steady in each successive game since Week 1, culminating in the 2025 first-round pick logging just two carries in this past Sunday's 38-33 win over the Jets, while Washington carried a career-high 25 times for 83 yards. The split in carries may not be quite as dramatic in weeks to come, but Washington appears to have earned himself a sizable piece of the pie while he's averaging 4.3 yards per tote to Jeanty's 3.1 mark through eight games. Jeanty remains the Raiders' clear cut top option on passing downs over Washington, who has recorded just three receptions for 11 yards on six targets so far this season.
Verdict
vs 33.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency12argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
40.2 RUSH YDS(×0.88 context)
L5 42.4 · L10 42.4 · med 41.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 25.2 · ceil 51.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 105 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 205 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Season5 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Situational splits
Over 33.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%2/4Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — @ SF
Nov 8, 2026
24thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
SF allows 37.1 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 14 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 5 games, Mike Washington Jr. has gone over 33.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. SF has been a tough matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 24th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (37.1 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 22.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.