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Cleveland BrownsRaheim Sanders
#23 · RB · 6' 0" · 230 lb · 4 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 3 of these 4 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- South Carolina
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 22.5 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutRaheim Sanders isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Sampson injured his knee on a kickoff return during Sunday's 34-10 loss to the Jaguars, and he'll be required to miss at least the next four games while on IR. Sanders finished that game with three catches on as many targets for 25 yards along with a one-yard carry, but moving forward, he should see more offensive snaps as the Browns' RB2 behind Quinshon Judkins, with Jaleel McLaughlin slotting in as the No. 3 backfield option. The Browns will stay on the road for a Week 2 tilt against the Buccaneers, whose defense gave up 106 rushing yards and one touchdown on 27 carries (3.9 YPC) in a 33-27 loss to the Bengals in Week 1.
Verdict
vs 9.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 73% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line73supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
18.7 RUSH YDS(×0.92 context)
L5 22.5 · L10 22.5 · med 23.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 13.0 · ceil 32.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 54 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Last 104 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Last 204 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Season4 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Situational splits
Over 9.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%2/2Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days67%2/3Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Sep 27, 2026
1stof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
CAR allows 86.8 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 4 games, Raheim Sanders has gone over 9.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 4 decided times (75%) — versus 75% across the full season. CAR has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 1st-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (86.8 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 14.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 75%.