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Baltimore RavensRashod Bateman
#7 · WR · 6' 1" · 193 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Dec 28, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Minnesota
- Experience
- 7 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 20.9 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutRashod Bateman isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Bateman is coming off a 2025 regular season in which his production was hampered by injuries and tapered off to 19 catches (on 38 targets) for 224 yards and two TDs in 13 games. Assuming improved health this year, the 2021 first-rounder -- who recorded a 45-756-9 receiving line in 17 regular-season contests in 2024 -- is a bounce-back candidate in new offensive coordinator Declan Doyle's attack. Next in line on Baltimore's WR depth chart beyond Flowers and Bateman are returnees Devontez Walker and LaJohntay Wester, as well as rookie draftees Ja'Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt.
Verdict
vs 14.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
15.3 REC YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 19.4 · L10 20.9 · med 14.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 8.0 · ceil 29.4
Matchup
F
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Season10 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 14.5Current | 50% | 5/10 | |
| 40% | 4/10 | ||
| 40% | 4/10 | ||
| 40% | 4/10 |
Situational splits
Over 14.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%4/6Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days56%5/9Low
Last matchup — vs NE
Dec 22, 2025
31stof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NE allows 36.0 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 68 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Rashod Bateman has gone over 14.5 REC YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. NE has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 31st-most REC YDS of 32 teams (36.0 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 19.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.