Loading…
Chicago BearsRome Odunze
#15 · WR · 6' 3" · 214 lb · 13 games
Stats updated: Jan 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Washington
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 57.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutRome Odunze isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Odunze also used the word 'amazing' to describe how he feels, perhaps looking to set the record straight after his June comments about a "new normal" led to some panic from Bears fans and fantasy managers. He suffered a stress fracture in his foot last season, derailing what had the look of a breakout year through September and the first half of October. Odunze returned for the playoffs and avoided surgery in the offseason, with no hint of any trouble (besides the one quote) during OTAs and minicamp. He, Luther Burden and TE Colston Loveland are locked in as Caleb Williams' top three targets, in some unknown order.
Verdict
vs 44.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 55% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)66supports it
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency5argues against it
Projection
44.3 REC YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 38.0 · L10 52.2 · med 44.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 34.0 · ceil 79.2
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2013 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Season13 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62% | 8/13 | ||
| 62% | 8/13 | ||
| 62% | 8/13 | ||
| 44.5Current | 46% | 6/13 | |
| 46% | 6/13 | ||
| 46% | 6/13 | ||
| 46% | 6/13 |
Situational splits
Over 44.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home43%3/7Low
Away50%3/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%6/12Low
Last matchup — vs LAR
Jan 18, 2026
6thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
LAR allows 48.1 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 64 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Rome Odunze has gone over 44.5 REC YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 46% across the full season. LAR has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 6th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (48.1 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 32.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.