Chicago Bears

Rome Odunze Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Rome Odunze has gone over 8.5 FS in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Washington
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 12.2 FS · our line

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OutRome Odunze isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Odunze also used the word 'amazing' to describe how he feels, perhaps looking to set the record straight after his June comments about a "new normal" led to some panic from Bears fans and fantasy managers. He suffered a stress fracture in his foot last season, derailing what had the look of a breakout year through September and the first half of October. Odunze returned for the playoffs and avoided surgery in the offseason, with no hint of any trouble (besides the one quote) during OTAs and minicamp. He, Luther Burden and TE Colston Loveland are locked in as Caleb Williams' top three targets, in some unknown order.

Verdict

vs 8.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)72supports it

Projection vs line54neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

8.3 FS(×0.90 context)

L5 6.0 · L10 9.6 · med 6.4

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 5.6 · ceil 17.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

30%over

3 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%

Last 2013 games

46%over

6 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%

Season13 games

46%over

6 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	77%	10/13
	54%	7/13
	54%	7/13
8.5Current	46%	6/13
	46%	6/13
	46%	6/13
	46%	6/13

Last 13 games — FS per game vs. line 8.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 8.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home43%3/7Low

Away50%3/6Low

Days since last game

3+ days42%5/12Low

Last matchup — vs LAR

Jan 18, 2026

7thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

LAR allows 10.6 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 64 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Rome Odunze has gone over 8.5 FS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 46% across the full season. LAR has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 7th-most FS of 32 teams (10.6 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 8.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.