Chicago Bears

Rome Odunze Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Rome Odunze has gone over 7.5 FS in 3 of his last 7 decided games (43%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Washington
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 9.4 FS · our line

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OutRome Odunze isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Odunze led the Bears in receiving yards on the night while finishing second in receptions and targets. The third-year wideout's catch and yardage totals both qualified as his second highest of the season, and Odunze now has 156 receiving yards over the last pair of contests for his most productive two-game stretch this season. Odunze is averaging a career-best 16.7 yards per catch and already has a career-high 14 receptions of 20-plus yards heading into a Week 9 home matchup against the Buccaneers on Sunday night.

Verdict

vs 7.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 35% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)68supports it

Projection vs line35argues against it

Consistency39argues against it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

9.9 FS(×1.01 context)

L5 10.2 · L10 9.4 · med 7.4

Consistency

Variable

floor 7.0 · ceil 12.3

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 107 games

43%over

3 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%

Last 207 games

43%over

3 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%

Season7 games

43%over

3 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 16%–75%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	7/7
	86%	6/7
	86%	6/7
7.5Current	43%	3/7
	43%	3/7
	43%	3/7
	43%	3/7

Last 7 games — FS per game vs. line 7.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 7.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%2/4Low

Away33%1/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%3/6Low

Next matchup — vs TB

Nov 9, 2026

24thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

TB allows 8.6 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 25 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 7 games, Rome Odunze has gone over 7.5 FS 3 of 7 decided times (43%) — versus 43% across the full season. TB has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 24th-most FS of 32 teams (8.6 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 3.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 43%.