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Los Angeles RamsRonnie Rivers
#20 · RB · 5' 9" · 198 lb · 2 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 1 of these 2 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Fresno State
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 30.0 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
QuestionableQuestionableConfirm Ronnie Rivers's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Calf Not Specified
It's not clear when Rivers was hurt, but he was ruled out shortly after halftime. Prior to his exit, the Fresno State product didn't log any touches on offense. Kyren Williams and Blake Corum will continue to lead Los Angeles' backfield.
Verdict
vs 29.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 4/100· model 50% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency39argues against it
Projection
29.5 RUSH YDS
L5 30.0 · L10 30.0 · med 30.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 23.4 · ceil 36.6
Matchup
NR
small sample
Recent history runs over on this line on a small sample, so read with extra caution. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 29.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 |
Situational splits
Over 29.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/1Low
Next matchup — @ DEN
Sep 28, 2026
8thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
DEN allows 57.2 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 2 games, Ronnie Rivers has gone over 29.5 RUSH YDS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. DEN has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 8th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (57.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 11.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.