Los Angeles Rams

Ronnie Rivers Receiving TDs

Stats updated: Sep 10, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Ronnie Rivers has gone over 0.5 REC TD in 0 of his last 2 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Fresno State
Experience: 6 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceiving TDs · season avg 0.0 REC TD · our line

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OutRonnie Rivers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Specified Calf Not Specified
Est. return:: Nov 8, 2026

Rivers made his return to practice Wednesday, operating as a full participant at the team's first session of the week, per Sarah Barshop of ESPN.com reports. The running back has been on injured reserve since late September after suffering a calf injury in Week 2 against the Giants, but he could be back in action as soon as Sunday versus the Commanders.

Verdict

vs 0.5 REC TDReceiving TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

0.0 REC TD(×1.05 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 52 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 102 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Last 202 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Season2 games

0%over

0 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–66%

Alternate lines — Receiving TDs (REC TD)

REC TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2
	0%	0/2

Last 2 games — REC TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 REC TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Away0%0/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/1Low

Next matchup — @ WSH

Nov 8, 2026

21stof 32 in REC TD allowed to running backs

WSH allows 0.0 REC TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 14 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 2 games, Ronnie Rivers has gone over 0.5 REC TD 0 of 2 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. WSH has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 21st-most REC TD of 32 teams (0.0 per game). His game-to-game REC TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.