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Cincinnati BengalsSamaje Perine
#34 · RB · 5' 11" · 240 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oklahoma
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 24.6 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutSamaje Perine isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The Bengals were chasing the Titans on the scoreboard much of the afternoon, and Chase Brown and Perine combined for just 16 carries, as Joe Burrow fired off 48 pass attempts. Perine is a touchdown-or-bust desperation RB3 in fantasy whose main value comes in the form of being Brown's backup. Cincinnati has been linked to a potential trade for a running back ahead of next week's deadline.
Verdict
vs 17.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 39% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line39argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
26.6 RUSH YDS(×1.13 context)
L5 24.6 · L10 24.6 · med 16.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 9.8 · ceil 29.6
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Situational splits
Over 17.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days25%1/4Low
Next matchup — @ ATL
Nov 8, 2026
10thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
ATL allows 51.7 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 17 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Samaje Perine has gone over 17.5 RUSH YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. ATL has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 10th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (51.7 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 22.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
6 books @ 17.5 RUSH YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.0%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.0%
Best Over
Caesars-102
-1.0% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-114
-6.1% EV
Model vs market (over)+10.8%
Our model puts the over at 60.8% vs the market's no-vig 50.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (17.5 RUSH YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.