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Cincinnati BengalsSamaje Perine
#34 · RB · 5' 11" · 240 lb · 9 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oklahoma
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 38.6 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutSamaje Perine isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Like Brown, Perine is approaching the last year of his contract. In 15 regular-season contests during the 2025 campaign, Perine logged 382 yards and three touchdowns on 84 carries, while adding 17 catches for 87 yards. As long as Brown remains healthy, Perine's fantasy value is modest, and it's also possible that 2025 sixth-rounder Tahj Brooks carves out a bigger role in 2026 after carrying the ball just 16 times as a rookie.
Verdict
vs 31.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 37% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)64supports it
Projection vs line37argues against it
Consistency8argues against it
Projection
42.3 RUSH YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 35.8 · L10 38.6 · med 31.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 26.2 · ceil 42.0
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 109 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 209 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Season9 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 67% | 6/9 | ||
| 31.5Current | 44% | 4/9 | |
| 44% | 4/9 | ||
| 44% | 4/9 | ||
| 44% | 4/9 |
Situational splits
Over 31.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%4/8Low
With a teammate out
How this RUSH YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Joe Burrow out+6.2 RUSH YDS when he sits
Without (4g)
42.0 RUSH YDS
25% over 31.5
With (5g)
35.8 RUSH YDS
60% over 31.5
Last matchup — vs CLE
Jan 4, 2026
21stof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
CLE allows 46.9 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 34 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 9 games, Samaje Perine has gone over 31.5 RUSH YDS 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 44% across the full season. CLE has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 21st-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (46.9 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 21.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.