Cincinnati Bengals

Tahj Brooks Rushing TDs

Stats updated: Dec 28, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tahj Brooks has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD in 0 of his last 4 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Texas Tech
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksRushing TDs · season avg 0.0 RUSH TD · our line

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OutTahj Brooks isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Brooks was a sixth-round selection of the Bengals in the 2025 NFL Draft and spent most of his rookie campaign as a contributor on special teams while operating behind both Brown and Perine in the backfield. Brooks figures to see continued work on special teams in 2026, but he'll have the opportunity to push Perine out for the RB2 role in training camp and the preseason. Brooks turned 16 carries into 45 yards and added a nine-yard catch across 16 regular-season games in 2025 while also gaining 258 yards on 10 kickoff returns.

Verdict

vs 0.5 RUSH TDRushing TDs

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Projection

0.0 RUSH TD

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 54 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Last 104 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Last 204 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Season4 games

0%over

0 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–49%

Alternate lines — Rushing TDs (RUSH TD)

RUSH TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate RUSH TD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4
	0%	0/4

Last 4 games — RUSH TD per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 RUSH TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/2Low

Away0%0/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/3Low

Last matchup — vs ARI

Dec 28, 2025

4thof 32 in RUSH TD allowed to running backs

ARI allows 0.5 RUSH TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 35 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 4 games, Tahj Brooks has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD 0 of 4 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. ARI has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 4th-most RUSH TD of 32 teams (0.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.