Philadelphia Eagles

Tanner McKee Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tanner McKee has gone over 12.5 FS in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Stanford
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 12.9 FS · our line

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OutTanner McKee isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

McKee was excellent in his lone 2025 preseason appearance, completing 20 of 25 passes for 252 yards and two touchdowns while adding a third score on the ground. He looked like someone the Eagles could dangle in trade talks to a team looking to develop a potential starter at QB. However, McKee then disappointed in a Week 18 spot start against the Commanders, going 21-for-40 for 241 yards, one touchdown and one interception while absorbing three sacks in a 24-17 loss. The Eagles traded for Dalton in March, and it looks like McKee has been bumped down the depth chart as a result.

Verdict

vs 12.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency100supports it

Projection

12.9 FS

L5 12.9 · L10 12.9 · med 12.9

Consistency

Steady

floor 12.9 · ceil 12.9

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
12.5Current	100%	1/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 12.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 12.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Last matchup — vs WSH

Jan 4, 2026

2ndof 32 in FS allowed to quarterbacks

WSH allows 19.8 FS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 17 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 1 games, Tanner McKee has gone over 12.5 FS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. WSH has been a favorable matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 2nd-most FS of 32 teams (19.8 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.