Philadelphia Eagles

Tanner McKee Completions

Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tanner McKee has gone over 20.5 CMP in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Stanford
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksCompletions · season avg 21.0 CMP · our line

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OutTanner McKee isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Not Specified Coach's Decision Not Specified
Est. return:: Sep 28, 2026

McKee will be the emergency option for the Eagles in consecutive weeks. The 26-year-old will only enter the game if both active quarterbacks cannot continue to play. The quarterback should stay in this role throughout the 2026 season unless Jalen Hurts or Andy Dalton suffers an injury.

Verdict

vs 20.5 CMPCompletions

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 56% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line56neutral

Consistency100supports it

Projection

21.0 CMP

L5 21.0 · L10 21.0 · med 21.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 21.0 · ceil 21.0

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Alternate lines — Completions (CMP)

CMP over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate CMP line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
20.5Current	100%	1/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — CMP per game vs. line 20.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 20.5 CMP by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home100%1/1Low

Last matchup — vs WSH

Jan 4, 2026

30thof 32 in CMP allowed to quarterbacks

WSH allows 14.0 CMP per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 1 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 1 games, Tanner McKee has gone over 20.5 CMP 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. WSH has been a tough matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 30th-most CMP of 32 teams (14.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game CMP have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.