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Seattle SeahawksTory Horton
#15 · WR · 6' 2" · 196 lb · 6 games
Stats updated: Nov 3, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Colorado State
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 26.8 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTory Horton isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Horton's return is a notable step after he was held out of 7-on-7 and 11-on-11 drills during offseason team activities. Though his promising rookie year was cut short, he flashed touchdown upside on limited volume with five receiving scores and a punt-return touchdown across just eight regular-season games. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Cooper Kupp and Rashid Shaheed still give Seattle a crowded receiver room, but Horton now has a full camp to push for a rotational role and maintain deep-league relevance.
Verdict
vs 31.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 46% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)98supports it
Projection vs line46neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
26.8 REC YDS(×0.97 context)
L5 25.8 · L10 26.8 · med 32.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 10.0 · ceil 39.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 106 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Last 206 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Season6 games
67%over
4 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 30%–90%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 67% | 4/6 | ||
| 31.5Current | 67% | 4/6 | |
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 | ||
| 33% | 2/6 |
Situational splits
Over 31.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%2/3Low
Away67%2/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days60%3/5Low
Last matchup — @ WSH
Nov 3, 2025
4thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
WSH allows 49.8 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 53 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 6 games, Tory Horton has gone over 31.5 REC YDS 4 of 6 decided times (67%) — versus 67% across the full season. WSH has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 4th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (49.8 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 16.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 67%.