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Denver BroncosTroy Franklin
#11 · WR · 6' 3" · 180 lb · 16 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 16 of these 16 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oregon
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 44.3 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutTroy Franklin isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The 23-year-old was only on the field for 17 of the team's 51 offensive snaps, which was fewer than Pat Bryant (30) along with starters Courtland Sutton and Jaylen Waddle at wide receiver. Franklin emerged as a go-to option for quarterback Bo Nix in 2025, catching 65 of 104 targets for 709 yards and six scores, but with the addition of Waddle in the offseason, his role appears to be significantly reduced.
Verdict
vs 9.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 88% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line88supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
39.4 REC YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 40.0 · L10 45.9 · med 33.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 19.0 · ceil 84.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 1010 games
100%over
10 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 72%–100%Last 2016 games
94%over
15 over · 1 under
Medium confidence95% CI 72%–99%Season16 games
94%over
15 over · 1 under
Medium confidence95% CI 72%–99%Situational splits
Over 9.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%8/8Medium
Away88%7/8Medium
Days since last game
3+ days93%14/15Medium
Next matchup — vs LAR
Sep 28, 2026
14thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
LAR allows 49.0 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Troy Franklin has gone over 9.5 REC YDS 10 of 10 decided times (100%) — versus 94% across the full season. LAR has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 14th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (49.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 28.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 94%.