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New York GiantsTyrone Tracy Jr.
#29 · RB · 5' 11" · 210 lb · 15 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 13 of these 15 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Purdue
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 49.5 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTyrone Tracy Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Hamstring Strain
- Est. return:
- Dec 6, 2026
Just as general manager Joe Schoen indicated would be the case earlier in the day, Tracy was deactivated after straining his hamstring during Sunday's 27-21 overtime win over the Texans. He'll be out for at least the next four games, making the Giants' Week 13 game against the 49ers his earliest possible return date. While Tracy is sidelined, Devin Singletary is expected to operate as the top complement to Cam Skattebo (hamstring), who thrived while moving back into a lead role out of the backfield in the Week 7 victory.
Verdict
vs 46.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 49% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line49neutral
Consistency9argues against it
Matchup25argues against it
Projection
48.3 RUSH YDS(×1.03 context)
L5 53.8 · L10 59.6 · med 66.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 18.0 · ceil 71.0
Matchup
B
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2015 games
47%over
7 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%Season15 games
47%over
7 over · 8 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53% | 8/15 | ||
| 53% | 8/15 | ||
| 53% | 8/15 | ||
| 46.5Current | 47% | 7/15 | |
| 47% | 7/15 | ||
| 47% | 7/15 | ||
| 47% | 7/15 |
Situational splits
Over 46.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home57%4/7Low
Away38%3/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%7/14Low
Next matchup — @ PHI
Nov 8, 2026
8thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
PHI allows 54.2 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 17 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has gone over 46.5 RUSH YDS 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 47% across the full season. PHI has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 8th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (54.2 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 27.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.