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New York GiantsTyrone Tracy Jr.
#29 · RB · 5' 11" · 210 lb · 13 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 13 of these 13 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Purdue
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 55.1 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTyrone Tracy Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Tracy was dealing with an illness to open the week, but he now appears to be back to full health. The running back logged just two snaps with the offense Week 1 against the Cowboys, losing a fumble on his second and final carry of the contest. Tracy figures to once again operate as the No. 3 option in the backfield behind starter Cam Skattebo and top backup Devin Singletary during Monday night's contest against the Rams.
Verdict
vs 61.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 67% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)70supports it
Projection vs line67supports it
Consistency24argues against it
Projection
74.1 RUSH YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 68.4 · L10 64.8 · med 66.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 31.8 · ceil 71.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
80%over
4 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%Last 1010 games
70%over
7 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%Last 2013 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Season13 games
54%over
7 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 29%–77%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 61.5Current | 54% | 7/13 | |
| 38% | 5/13 | ||
| 38% | 5/13 | ||
| 38% | 5/13 |
Situational splits
Over 61.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home80%4/5Low
Away38%3/8Low
Days since last game
3+ days58%7/12Low
Next matchup — @ LAR
Sep 22, 2026
6thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
LAR allows 66.5 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has gone over 61.5 RUSH YDS 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 54% across the full season. LAR has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 6th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (66.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 25.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 54%.