Houston Texans

Woody Marks Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Woody Marks has gone over 13 FS in 0 of his last 5 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: USC
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 9.0 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutWoody Marks isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Marks acted as the Texans' primary running back for a fourth straight game, three of which David Montgomery has missed completely due to a groin injury. During that stretch, Marks has racked up 75 touches for 321 yards from scrimmage, but he has yet to reach the end zone since Week 4. Montgomery wasn't able to practice this week, so Marks may be in line for another role as Houston's No. 1 backfield option next Sunday at Cleveland if the former doesn't make the requisite progress in his recovery.

Verdict

vs 13 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 96% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency55neutral

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

9.1 FS(×0.98 context)

L5 9.0 · L10 9.0 · med 9.1

Consistency

Steady

floor 7.8 · ceil 10.6

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 105 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 205 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Season5 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 5 games — FS per game vs. line 13.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 13 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/3Low

Away0%0/2Low

Days since last game

3+ days0%0/4Low

Next matchup — @ CLE

Nov 15, 2026

11thof 32 in FS allowed to running backs

CLE allows 11.6 FS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 14 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 5 games, Woody Marks has gone over 13 FS 0 of 5 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. CLE has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 11th-most FS of 32 teams (11.6 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.