Edmonton Oilers

Alec Regula Blocked Shots

Stats updated: Jan 21, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Alec Regula has gone over 1.5 BLKD in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Line

Blocked Shots · season avg 1.7 BLKD

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OutAlec Regula isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Undisclosed
Est. return:: Sep 29, 2026

Regula's chances of making the Opening Night roster won't be improved by his inability to play in the preseason. In order to secure a spot on the 23-man roster, Regula will need to edge out Spencer Stastney and Ty Emberson for a spot on the blue line. Even if Regula does make the team, he may serve as a healthy scratch more often than not.

Verdict

vs 1.5 BLKDBlocked Shots

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 55% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)53neutral

Projection vs line55neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

1.9 BLKD(×0.88 context)

L5 2.4 · L10 2.2 · med 2.0

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 0.6 · ceil 3.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2019 games

47%over

9 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%

Season19 games

47%over

9 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 27%–68%

Alternate lines — Blocked Shots (BLKD)

BLKD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate BLKD line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	79%	15/19
1.5Current	47%	9/19
	26%	5/19
	11%	2/19
	11%	2/19

Last 19 games — BLKD per game vs. line 1.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 1.5 BLKD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home58%7/12Low

Away29%2/7Low

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)100%1/1Low

1 day50%3/6Low

2 days25%1/4Low

3+ days57%4/7Low

Next matchup — vs WPG

Sep 20, 2026

24thof 32 in BLKD allowed to defensemen

WPG allows 1.4 BLKD per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 237 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Alec Regula has gone over 1.5 BLKD 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 47% across the full season. WPG has been a tough matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 24th-most BLKD of 32 teams (1.4 per game). His game-to-game BLKD have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.