Edmonton Oilers

Alec Regula Goals

Stats updated: Jan 21, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Alec Regula has gone over 0.5 G in 0 of his last 10 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Line

PrizePicksGoals · season avg 0.0 G · our line

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OutAlec Regula isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Undisclosed
Est. return:: Sep 29, 2026

Regula's chances of making the Opening Night roster won't be improved by his inability to play in the preseason. In order to secure a spot on the 23-man roster, Regula will need to edge out Spencer Stastney and Ty Emberson for a spot on the blue line. Even if Regula does make the team, he may serve as a healthy scratch more often than not.

Verdict

vs 0.5 GGoals

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Matchup0argues against it

Projection

0.0 G(×1.00 context)

L5 0.0 · L10 0.0 · med 0.0

Consistency

Variable

floor 0.0 · ceil 0.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

0%over

0 over · 5 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–43%

Last 1010 games

0%over

0 over · 10 under

Medium confidence95% CI 0%–28%

Last 2019 games

0%over

0 over · 19 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–17%

Season19 games

0%over

0 over · 19 under

High confidence95% CI 0%–17%

Alternate lines — Goals (G)

G over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate G line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
0.5Current	0%	0/19
	0%	0/19
	0%	0/19
	0%	0/19

Last 19 games — G per game vs. line 0.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 0.5 G by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/12High

Away0%0/7Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)0%0/1Low

1 day0%0/6Medium

2 days0%0/4Low

3+ days0%0/7Medium

Next matchup — @ WPG

Sep 23, 2026

4thof 32 in G allowed to defensemen

WPG allows 0.1 G per game to defensemen (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 237 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Alec Regula has gone over 0.5 G 0 of 10 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. WPG has been a favorable matchup for defensemen this season, allowing the 4th-most G of 32 teams (0.1 per game). His game-to-game G have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.