Utah Jazz

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Oct 26, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jaren Jackson Jr. has gone over 28.5 PRA in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2018 · Rd 1, Pick 4
College: Michigan State
Country: USA
Experience: 9 seasons

Line

PrizePicksPoints + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 29.1 PRA · our line

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OutJaren Jackson Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Injury:: Right Knee Not Specified
Est. return:: Dec 14, 2026

Jackson sustained the injury early in Monday's loss to Memphis, and he's now expected to miss at least a month and a half of action. The star big man's absence creates a major void in the Utah lineup, one that is likely to be filled by a timeshare of Jaxson Hayes (shoulder), Kyle Filipowski and Mo Bamba. The Jazz could also shift Lauri Markkanen (wrist), when healthy, to the center spot at times, perhaps allowing Ace Bailey to spend more time at power forward.

Verdict

vs 28.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 32% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral

Projection vs line32argues against it

Consistency63supports it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

25.7 PRA(×0.89 context)

L5 28.2 · L10 30.6 · med 29.5

Consistency

Steady

floor 22.6 · ceil 35.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2014 games

50%over

7 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%

Season14 games

50%over

7 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 27%–73%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	57%	8/14
	57%	8/14
	50%	7/14
28.5Current	50%	7/14
	43%	6/14
	36%	5/14
	36%	5/14

Last 14 games — PRA per game vs. line 28.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 28.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home57%4/7Low

Away43%3/7Low

Days since last game

1 day67%4/6Low

2 days25%1/4Low

3+ days67%2/3Low

Next matchup — @ DAL

Nov 7, 2026

10thof 30 in PRA allowed to forwards

DAL allows 21.0 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 26 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 10 games, Jaren Jackson Jr. has gone over 28.5 PRA 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 50% across the full season. DAL has been a favorable matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 10th-most PRA of 30 teams (21.0 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 6.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

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Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.