Utah Jazz

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points + Rebounds + Assists

Stats updated: Feb 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Jaren Jackson Jr. has gone over 29.5 PRA in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: 2018 · Rd 1, Pick 4
College: Michigan State
Country: USA
Experience: 8 seasons

Top reads — this player & matchup

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Ranked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.

Line

PrizePicksPoints + Rebounds + Assists · season avg 29.2 PRA · our line

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Game-Time DecisionConfirm Jaren Jackson Jr.'s status before the game.

Injury:: Left Knee Surgery

Jackson was traded from Memphis to Utah in February, though he appeared in only three regular-season games for the Jazz before undergoing surgery due to a growth in his left knee. The 2022-23 Defensive Player of the Year will look to make his presence felt on that end of the floor and anchor a now Kessler-less Jazz frontcourt. Jackson's two-way production will be crucial for a Utah team that's looking to return to playoff contention, and he hasn't averaged fewer than 18.6 points per game since the 2021-22 campaign, when he averaged 16.3 points per tilt for the Grizzlies.

Verdict

vs 29.5 PRAPoints + Rebounds + Assists

No readFireFactor 9/100· model 52% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)54neutral

Projection vs line52neutral

Consistency60supports it

Projection

31.0 PRA(×1.00 context)

L5 33.0 · L10 29.8 · med 29.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 24.2 · ceil 34.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Recent history runs over on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Game-time decision — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2020 games

60%over

12 over · 8 under

Medium confidence95% CI 39%–78%

Season32 games

50%over

16 over · 16 under

Medium confidence95% CI 34%–66%

Alternate lines — Points + Rebounds + Assists (PRA)

PRA over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate PRA line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	69%	22/32
	59%	19/32
	50%	16/32
29.5Current	50%	16/32
	44%	14/32
	41%	13/32
	34%	11/32

Last 20 games — PRA per game vs. line 29.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 29.5 PRA by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home62%8/13Low

Away42%8/19Medium

Days since last game

0 days (B2B)50%1/2Low

1 day50%7/14Low

2 days44%4/9Low

3+ days67%4/6Low

Last matchup — vs MIN

Feb 2, 2026

15thof 30 in PRA allowed to forwards

MIN allows 21.8 PRA per game to forwards (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 166 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Jaren Jackson Jr. has gone over 29.5 PRA 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. MIN has been a middling matchup for forwards this season, allowing the 15th-most PRA of 30 teams (21.8 per game). His game-to-game PRA have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 7.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

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Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.