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Cincinnati BengalsAndrei Iosivas
#80 · WR · 6' 3" · 210 lb · 12 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 11 of these 12 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Princeton
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 31.3 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutAndrei Iosivas isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Iosivas' lone target from Joe Burrow took place early in the third quarter and set up Evan McPherson to connect on a 51-yard field goal on the next play to put the Bengals up 10-3. Iosivas' 32 offensive snaps were third-most among wide receivers, but he is very clearly behind Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Chase Brown and Mike Gesicki in the pecking order for passes from Burrow. Iosivas will take a 3-19-0 receiving line (on four targets) into the Bengals' Week 3 road clash against the Steelers on Sept. 27.
Verdict
vs 18.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 45% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line45neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
25.3 REC YDS(×0.96 context)
L5 28.2 · L10 28.1 · med 18.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 10.4 · ceil 58.6
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2012 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Season12 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 58% | 7/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 18.5Current | 50% | 6/12 | |
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 42% | 5/12 | ||
| 42% | 5/12 |
Situational splits
Over 18.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%5/9Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days55%6/11Low
Next matchup — @ PIT
Sep 27, 2026
30thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
PIT allows 30.2 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Andrei Iosivas has gone over 18.5 REC YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. PIT has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 30th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (30.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 26.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.