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Cincinnati BengalsAndrei Iosivas Targets
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Andrei Iosivas has gone over 4.5 TGT in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Princeton
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Targets · season avg 4.7 TGT · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutAndrei Iosivas isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Iosivas played 39 of 64 snaps on offense, third-most among Bengals wide receivers behind Ja'Marr Chase (60) and Tee Higgins (46), though it was tight end Mike Gesicki's 5-78-1 receiving line that led all Cincinnati pass catchers. Iosivas is firmly entrenched as the Bengals' WR3, though he's unlikely to see many targets from Joe Burrow while Chase, Higgins, Gesicki and running back Chase Brown are on the field. Up next is a Week 2 clash against the Texans on Sunday, Sept. 20.
Verdict
vs 4.5 TGTTargetsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 63% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line63supports it
Consistency43neutral
Projection
4.0 TGT(×0.94 context)
L5 4.4 · L10 4.4 · med 4.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 3.0 · ceil 6.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2012 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Season12 games
42%over
5 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%Alternate lines — Targets (TGT)
TGT over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 12/12 | ||
| 100% | 12/12 | ||
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 4.5Current | 42% | 5/12 | |
| 33% | 4/12 | ||
| 25% | 3/12 | ||
| 0% | 0/12 |
Situational splits
Over 4.5 TGT by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home56%5/9Low
Away0%0/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days36%4/11Low
Next matchup — @ HOU
Sep 20, 2026
15thof 32 in TGT allowed to wide receivers
HOU allows 5.3 TGT per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Andrei Iosivas has gone over 4.5 TGT 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 42% across the full season. HOU has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 15th-most TGT of 32 teams (5.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game TGT have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 1.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.
More Andrei Iosivas research
Andrei Iosivas — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Iosivas Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Iosivas Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Iosivas Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.