Indianapolis Colts

Anthony Richardson Sr. Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Oct 5, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Anthony Richardson Sr. has gone over 2.5 FS in 0 of his last 1 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Florida
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 2.3 FS · our line

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OutAnthony Richardson Sr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Richardson is competing with second-year pro Riley Leonard for the No. 2 role behind starter Daniel Jones. Richardson and Leonard are reportedly "neck and neck right now," according to offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter. Both quarterbacks are expected to continue to rotate reps between the second- and third-team offenses, and GM Chris Ballard said Tuesday that it is his intent to carry Jones, Richardson and Leonard on the Colts' roster when it is cut to 53 players on Aug. 30.

Verdict

vs 2.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency100supports it

Projection

2.3 FS

L5 2.3 · L10 2.3 · med 2.3

Consistency

Steady

floor 2.3 · ceil 2.3

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 51 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 101 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Last 201 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Season1 game

0%over

0 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 0%–79%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	1/1
	100%	1/1
2.5Current	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1
	0%	0/1

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 2.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 2.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home0%0/1Low

Last matchup — vs LV

Oct 5, 2025

19thof 32 in FS allowed to quarterbacks

LV allows 15.4 FS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 18 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 1 games, Anthony Richardson Sr. has gone over 2.5 FS 0 of 1 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. LV has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 19th-most FS of 32 teams (15.4 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.