Loading…
New York JetsBraelon Allen
#0 · RB · 6' 1" · 235 lb · 5 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 3 of these 5 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Wisconsin
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 22.4 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutBraelon Allen isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Allen scored a touchdown in the second quarter of Sunday's game on a five-yard rush. The running back played 23 offensive snaps in the contest, seeing supplemental volume behind No. 1 running back Breece Hall's 47 snaps and 16 carries.
Verdict
vs 24.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 42% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line42neutral
Consistency6argues against it
Projection
20.6 RUSH YDS(×0.93 context)
L5 22.4 · L10 22.4 · med 26.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 8.6 · ceil 32.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 105 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 205 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Season5 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Situational splits
Over 24.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/2Low
Away100%3/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days75%3/4Low
Next matchup — @ DET
Sep 27, 2026
4thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
DET allows 70.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Braelon Allen has gone over 24.5 RUSH YDS 3 of 5 decided times (60%) — versus 60% across the full season. DET has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 4th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (70.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 12.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 60%.