Loading…
Las Vegas RaidersBrock Bowers
#89 · TE · 6' 4" · 235 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Dec 21, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Georgia
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 58.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
QuestionableQuestionableBrock Bowers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee - Meniscus Surgery
- Est. return:
- Sep 27, 2026
Bowers missed the Raiders' first two games of the season after undergoing a meniscus trim procedure Sept. 8, but he took a major step forward in his recovery by returning to practice last Friday as a limited participant. The star tight end will aim to get in a full slate of practices during the upcoming week, and if he experiences no setbacks with his left knee in those sessions, he could be cleared to make his 2026 debut Sunday. In Bowers' absence over the previous two weeks, Michael Mayer has stepped in as the Raiders' top tight end and has produced a 9-55-0 receiving line on 11 targets.
Verdict
vs 46.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line57neutral
Consistency12argues against it
Projection
45.9 REC YDS(×0.91 context)
L5 46.8 · L10 58.6 · med 46.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 37.0 · ceil 78.2
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Season10 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 46.5Current | 40% | 4/10 | |
| 40% | 4/10 | ||
| 40% | 4/10 | ||
| 40% | 4/10 |
Situational splits
Over 46.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away25%1/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days33%3/9Low
Next matchup — @ NO
Sep 27, 2026
10thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to tight ends
NO allows 25.5 REC YDS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brock Bowers has gone over 46.5 REC YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. NO has been a favorable matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 10th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (25.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 31.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.