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Las Vegas RaidersBrock Bowers Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Dec 21, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.
Brock Bowers has gone over 13.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Georgia
- Experience
- 4 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.8 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutBrock Bowers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
- Injury:
- Left Knee - Meniscus Surgery
- Est. return:
- Sep 27, 2026
Bowers has missed the first two games of the season, but the Raiders are off to a 2-0 start despite their star tight end's absence. He could be ready to return from a meniscus trim for Week 3 at New Orleans. Bowers' practice participation level during the week will provide an indication of his potential availability.
Verdict
vs 13.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 47% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line47neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
13.0 FS(×0.91 context)
L5 12.7 · L10 14.8 · med 12.8
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 8.8 · ceil 14.7
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Season10 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 6/10 | ||
| 56% | 5/9 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 13.5Current | 50% | 5/10 | |
| 30% | 3/10 | ||
| 10% | 1/10 | ||
| 10% | 1/10 |
Situational splits
Over 13.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away50%2/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days44%4/9Low
Next matchup — @ NO
Sep 27, 2026
16thof 32 in FS allowed to tight ends
NO allows 5.5 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 10 games, Brock Bowers has gone over 13.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. NO has been a middling matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 16th-most FS of 32 teams (5.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 9.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Brock Bowers research
Brock Bowers — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Bowers Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Bowers Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Bowers Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.