Las Vegas Raiders

Brock Bowers Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Dec 21, 2025 — nightly box scores, not live.

Brock Bowers has gone over 13.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Georgia
Experience: 4 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 14.8 FS · our line

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OutBrock Bowers isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Bowers was plagued by a knee injury during most of the 2025 campaign and was ultimately placed on IR for the final two weeks of the regular season. However, he's been able to get back to full health during the offseason and has several other factors working in his favor ahead of the 2026 campaign. First, he'll be working with a pair of new quarterbacks in Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza, and Cousins was reportedly enthralled with Bowers during spring workouts. Second, the Raiders brought in Klint Kubiak -- "who has shown the ability to scheme the ball to his best pass catchers" -- as their new coach. Third, Las Vegas currently has an untested WR room, so Bowers is likely to feature at the team's top pass catcher.

Verdict

vs 13.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 51% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral

Projection vs line51neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

14.1 FS(×0.99 context)

L5 12.7 · L10 14.8 · med 12.8

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 8.8 · ceil 14.7

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Season10 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	60%	6/10
	56%	5/9
	50%	5/10
13.5Current	50%	5/10
	30%	3/10
	10%	1/10
	10%	1/10

Last 10 games — FS per game vs. line 13.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 13.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%3/6Low

Away50%2/4Low

Days since last game

3+ days44%4/9Low

With a teammate out

How this FS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Kirk Cousins out+4.6 FS when he sits

Without (6g)

16.7 FS

50% over 13.5

With (4g)

12.0 FS

50% over 13.5

Last matchup — @ HOU

Dec 21, 2025

26thof 32 in FS allowed to tight ends

HOU allows 5.5 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 38 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Brock Bowers has gone over 13.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. HOU has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 26th-most FS of 32 teams (5.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 9.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.