Loading…
Tennessee TitansCalvin Ridley
#0 · WR · 6' 1" · 190 lb · 5 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 5 of these 5 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 54.4 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutCalvin Ridley isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Ridley didn't see a target from Cam Ward during the Titans' Week 1 loss to the Jets. The veteran wide receiver finally got involved offensively with catches of 25 and 10 yards in the third quarter as part of a 12-play, 69-yard drive that ended with a one-yard touchdown scramble by Ward. Ridley was listed as a starter alongside Carnell Tate and Elic Ayomanor, and Ridley's 33 snaps on offense were second-most among Titans wide receivers behind Tate (40). Up next for Ridley and the Titans is a Week 3 road tilt against the Giants.
Verdict
vs 30.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 35% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line35argues against it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
56.2 REC YDS(×0.92 context)
L5 54.4 · L10 54.4 · med 30.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 27.0 · ceil 71.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 30.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 40% | 2/5 |
Situational splits
Over 30.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — @ NYG
Sep 27, 2026
12thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NYG allows 53.3 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Calvin Ridley has gone over 30.5 REC YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. NYG has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 12th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (53.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 39.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.