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Tennessee TitansCalvin Ridley Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Calvin Ridley has gone over 7.5 FS in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- 9 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 8.4 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutCalvin Ridley isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Ridley had the third-most snaps among Titans wide receivers behind Carnell Tate (44) and Wan'Dale Robinson (41), though Ridley didn't end up seeing a single target from quarterback Cam Ward during Sunday's loss. Ridley restructured his contract in mid-March after playing in only seven regular-season games in 2025, but it looks like the veteran wide receiver might be an afterthought in the Titans offense. He'll look for better results in Tennessee's Week 2 clash against Philadelphia on Sept. 20.
Verdict
vs 7.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 48% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line48neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
8.5 FS(×0.92 context)
L5 8.4 · L10 8.4 · med 6.7
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 4.7 · ceil 10.6
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 4/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 7.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 7.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%1/2Low
Away33%1/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — @ NYG
Sep 27, 2026
23rdof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
NYG allows 8.5 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 5 games, Calvin Ridley has gone over 7.5 FS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. NYG has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 23rd-most FS of 32 teams (8.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.
More Calvin Ridley research
Calvin Ridley — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Ridley Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Ridley Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Ridley Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.