
#17 · WR · 6' 1" · 196 lb · 15 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
As a rookie, the 2025 fourth-rounder compiled a 48/423/4 receiving line (on 74 targets) across 17 regular-season games, adding a pair of punt return scores, while fellow 2025 fourth-rounder Elic Ayomanor logged a 41/515/4 mark on 89 targets. However, the free-agent addition of Wan'Dale Robinson, coupled with the selection of Carnell Tate fourth overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, poses a threat to the volume of both Dike and Ayomanor in their second pro campaigns, given that Calvin Ridley (limited to seven games last year) also remains in the mix. As Suss notes, Dike's speed makes him an asset, but as Week 1 approaches the Florida product's weekly role in Tennessee's passing game is TBD considering his team's offseason moves. That said, Dike should continue to make his mark as a returner after establishing the all-time NFL rookie record for all-purpose yards (which included 1,588 kickoff return yards and 398 punt return yards) in 2025.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 9/15 | ||
| 60% | 9/15 | ||
| 60% | 9/15 | ||
| 17.5Current | 47% | 7/15 | |
| 47% | 7/15 | ||
| 47% | 7/15 | ||
| 47% | 7/15 |
Over 17.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
JAX allows 41.4 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 61 player-games
NeutralOver his last 10 games, Chimere Dike has gone over 17.5 REC YDS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 47% across the full season. JAX has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 19th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (41.4 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 26.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.