Tennessee Titans

Chimere Dike Receptions

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Chimere Dike has gone over 3.5 REC in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Florida
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksReceptions · season avg 3.4 REC · our line

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OutChimere Dike isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

With Carnell Tate (shoulder) inactive against Cincinnati, Dike receiving the biggest playing-time boost on offense, as he ran 40 routes on Cam Ward's 46 dropbacks. Only Gunnar Helm produced more receiving yards than Dike in the Week 8 defeat, and only Wan'Dale Robinson (six) recorded more catches. With the Titans headed into their Week 9 bye, Tate figures to be back the following week versus Jacksonville. Perhaps Dike can earn more playing time at Elic Ayomanor's expense, and Calvin Ridley's name has been linked to trade speculation.

Verdict

vs 3.5 RECReceptions

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)59neutral

Projection vs line54neutral

Consistency20argues against it

Projection

3.6 REC(×0.97 context)

L5 3.6 · L10 3.5 · med 3.5

Consistency

Variable

floor 2.0 · ceil 5.0

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

40%over

2 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2015 games

47%over

7 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%

Season15 games

47%over

7 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%

Alternate lines — Receptions (REC)

REC over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate REC line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	100%	15/15
	87%	13/15
	67%	10/15
3.5Current	47%	7/15
	27%	4/15
	7%	1/15
	7%	1/15

Last 15 games — REC per game vs. line 3.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 3.5 REC by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home38%3/8Low

Away57%4/7Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%7/14Low

Last matchup — @ CIN

Nov 1, 2026

25thof 32 in REC allowed to wide receivers

CIN allows 3.0 REC per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 25 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Chimere Dike has gone over 3.5 REC 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 47% across the full season. CIN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 25th-most REC of 32 teams (3.0 per game). His game-to-game REC have been highly variable (σ ≈ 1.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.