Tennessee Titans

Chimere Dike Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Chimere Dike has gone over 5.5 FS in 6 of his last 10 decided games (60%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Florida
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 7.6 FS · our line

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OutChimere Dike isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

As a rookie, the 2025 fourth-rounder compiled a 48/423/4 receiving line (on 74 targets) across 17 regular-season games, adding a pair of punt return scores, while fellow 2025 fourth-rounder Elic Ayomanor logged a 41/515/4 mark on 89 targets. However, the free-agent addition of Wan'Dale Robinson, coupled with the selection of Carnell Tate fourth overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, poses a threat to the volume of both Dike and Ayomanor in their second pro campaigns, given that Calvin Ridley (limited to seven games last year) also remains in the mix. As Suss notes, Dike's speed makes him an asset, but as Week 1 approaches the Florida product's weekly role in Tennessee's passing game is TBD considering his team's offseason moves. That said, Dike should continue to make his mark as a returner after establishing the all-time NFL rookie record for all-purpose yards (which included 1,588 kickoff return yards and 398 punt return yards) in 2025.

Verdict

vs 5.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 38% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)53neutral

Projection vs line38argues against it

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

8.9 FS(×1.10 context)

L5 9.5 · L10 8.4 · med 7.9

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 2.8 · ceil 13.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

80%over

4 over · 1 under

Low confidence95% CI 38%–96%

Last 1010 games

60%over

6 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%

Last 2015 games

47%over

7 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%

Season15 games

47%over

7 over · 8 under

Low confidence95% CI 25%–70%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	87%	13/15
	64%	9/14
	53%	8/15
5.5Current	47%	7/15
	40%	6/15
	40%	6/15
	40%	6/15

Last 15 games — FS per game vs. line 5.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 5.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home44%4/9Low

Away50%3/6Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%7/14Low

Last matchup — @ JAX

Jan 4, 2026

18thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

JAX allows 9.3 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 61 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Chimere Dike has gone over 5.5 FS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 47% across the full season. JAX has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 18th-most FS of 32 teams (9.3 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 5.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 47%.