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Seattle SeahawksCooper Kupp Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 2, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Cooper Kupp has gone over 8.5 FS in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Eastern Washington
- Experience
- 11 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 8.3 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutCooper Kupp isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Kupp had another low target share, but he at least made the most of his only catch by hauling in a seven-yard TD early in the fourth quarter. That score probably isn't going to be enough to inspire confidence in him in fantasy, though, given that the veteran wideout has drawn three or fewer targets in six of his eight games this season. Kupp's seven receiving yards Monday also were a season-low mark, and there simply doesn't seem to be much room for any wideout aside from Jaxon Smith-Njigba to regularly find success in Seattle's offense given Smith-Njigba's massive target share. With that said, Kupp at least will have a favorable matchup in Week 9, as he'll face an Arizona defense that has surrendered 11 receiving TDs to wideouts this season, tied for the most in the NFL.
Verdict
vs 8.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 51% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line51neutral
Consistency22argues against it
Matchup50neutral
Projection
8.6 FS(×1.04 context)
L5 8.3 · L10 8.3 · med 7.7
Consistency
Variable
floor 5.1 · ceil 10.9
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 3/4 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 8.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 40% | 2/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/3Low
Away100%2/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — vs ARI
Nov 8, 2026
16thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
ARI allows 10.0 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 25 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Cooper Kupp has gone over 8.5 FS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. ARI has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 16th-most FS of 32 teams (10.0 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 3.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.
More Cooper Kupp research
Cooper Kupp — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Kupp Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Kupp Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Kupp Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.