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Cleveland BrownsDenzel Boston
#12 · WR · 6' 4" · 215 lb · 2 games
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
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Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 77.0 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutDenzel Boston isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Boston's big play was a 55-yard touchdown late in the third quarter to pull the Browns even with the Bucs at 16-16. The rookie wideout caught a deep crosser and spun off several would-be tackles and dashed to the end zone. It was Boston's second long touchdown in as many weeks to begin his pro career. Through two games, the second-round pick has seven catches for 154 yards and two scores on 11 targets. He's shaping up as a boom-or-bust fantasy WR4 headed into next Sunday's home date with the Panthers.
Verdict
vs 29.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 99% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line95supports it
Consistency61supports it
Projection
71.6 REC YDS(×0.92 context)
L5 77.0 · L10 77.0 · med 77.0
Consistency
Steady
floor 66.2 · ceil 87.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 52 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Last 102 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Last 202 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Season2 games
100%over
2 over · 0 under
Low confidence95% CI 34%–100%Situational splits
Over 29.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Away100%2/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%1/1Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Sep 27, 2026
25thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CAR allows 35.5 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 2 games, Denzel Boston has gone over 29.5 REC YDS 2 of 2 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. CAR has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 25th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (35.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 18.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (30 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.