Cleveland Browns

Denzel Boston Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Denzel Boston has gone over 7 FS in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Washington
Experience: Rookie

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 13.9 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutDenzel Boston isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

It wasn't until the third play of the fourth quarter that Boston made his first NFL catch, a 13-yard pass from Deshaun Watson, before the duo connected on a 46-yard touchdown pass on the first play following the two-minute warning. Boston finished Sunday's game as the Browns' leader in receiving yards while fellow rookie KC Concepcion led the team in catches (four) and targets (five). There figures to be some growing pains for the Browns' offense this season given the amount of young talent. Cleveland will stay on the road for a Week 2 matchup against Tampa Bay on Sept. 20.

Verdict

vs 7 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency100supports it

Projection

12.8 FS(×0.92 context)

L5 13.9 · L10 13.9 · med 13.9

Consistency

Steady

floor 13.9 · ceil 13.9

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 7.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 7 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away100%1/1Low

Next matchup — @ TB

Sep 20, 2026

30thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

TB allows 5.1 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 1 games, Denzel Boston has gone over 7 FS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. TB has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 30th-most FS of 32 teams (5.1 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.