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Atlanta FalconsDrake London
#5 · WR · 6' 4" · 215 lb · 10 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- USC
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 86.6 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutDrake London isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Atlanta quarterbacks Tua Tagovailoa (back) and Michael Penix (knee) have been limited early on, while London seems to be back at full strength after missing some spring practices with an undisclosed injury. The star wideout can now focus on building chemistry with Tagovailoa, who figures to take most of the first-team reps this summer.
Verdict
vs 90.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 37% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line37argues against it
Consistency24argues against it
Projection
74.4 REC YDS(×0.90 context)
L5 89.2 · L10 86.6 · med 91.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 52.4 · ceil 118.2
Matchup
D
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Season10 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 90.5Current | 50% | 5/10 | |
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 | ||
| 50% | 5/10 |
Situational splits
Over 90.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away40%2/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days56%5/9Low
With a teammate out
How this REC YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Tua Tagovailoa out-8.7 REC YDS when he sits
Without (7g)
84.0 REC YDS
43% over 90.5
With (3g)
92.7 REC YDS
67% over 90.5
Last matchup — vs NO
Jan 4, 2026
25thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
NO allows 38.1 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 55 player-games
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Drake London has gone over 90.5 REC YDS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. NO has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 25th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (38.1 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 39.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.