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Tampa Bay BuccaneersEmeka Egbuka
#2 · WR · 6' 1" · 205 lb · 5 games
Stats updated: Oct 18, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ohio State
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Top reads — this player & matchup
pick one to load it belowRanked by FireFactor for the next matchup, straight from the game logs.
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 45.4 REC YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
QuestionableQuestionableConfirm Emeka Egbuka's status before the game.
- Injury:
- Not Specified Foot Not Specified
Egbuka has missed the last two games due to a concussion and a foot injury, and while he's cleared the protocol for head injuries, the latter issue has lingered into this week. After opening Week 9 prep with a DNP on Wednesday, he's logged back-to-back full sessions, but head coach Todd Bowles also relayed to Greg Auman of Fox Sports on Friday that Egbuka will be a game-time decision. Considering the Buccaneers have an 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff Sunday, there won't be many options to pivot to if Egbuka ends up being inactive.
Verdict
vs 51.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 5/100· model 55% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line55neutral
Consistency36argues against it
Matchup0argues against it
Projection
48.7 REC YDS(×1.07 context)
L5 45.4 · L10 45.4 · med 48.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 33.6 · ceil 62.2
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Recent history runs under on this line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice. Questionable — confirm status before acting.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Situational splits
Over 51.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home33%1/3Low
Away50%1/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days25%1/4Low
Next matchup — @ CHI
Nov 9, 2026
5thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
CHI allows 53.7 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 22 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 5 games, Emeka Egbuka has gone over 51.5 REC YDS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. CHI has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 5th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (53.7 per game). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 17.4), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
4 books @ 51.5 REC YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.1%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 49.9%
Best Over
DraftKings-113
-5.6% EV
Best Under
DraftKings-111
-5.2% EV
Model vs market (over)-5.5%
Our model puts the over at 44.6% vs the market's no-vig 50.1%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (51.5 REC YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.