Loading…
Dallas CowboysGeorge Pickens Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
George Pickens has gone over 15.5 FS in 3 of his last 10 decided games (30%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Georgia
- Experience
- 6 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 17.8 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutGeorge Pickens isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Pickens finished second in receptions and targets on the afternoon for the Cowboys, but he wasn't very efficient on a per-catch basis. The star wideout saw CeeDee Lamb take priority Sunday, with the latter finishing with an 8-153-2 line on nine targets. Pickens remains a critical component of a high-upside Cowboys air attack, however, and his body of work last season supports the notion a breakout performance may be imminent.
Verdict
vs 15.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 58% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)75supports it
Projection vs line58neutral
Consistency15argues against it
Projection
13.7 FS(×0.97 context)
L5 12.0 · L10 15.6 · med 12.9
Consistency
Variable
floor 10.0 · ceil 29.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
30%over
3 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 11%–60%Last 2016 games
44%over
7 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 23%–67%Season16 games
44%over
7 over · 9 under
Medium confidence95% CI 23%–67%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63% | 10/16 | ||
| 63% | 10/16 | ||
| 56% | 9/16 | ||
| 15.5Current | 44% | 7/16 | |
| 44% | 7/16 | ||
| 44% | 7/16 | ||
| 31% | 5/16 |
Situational splits
Over 15.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home44%4/9Low
Away43%3/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%6/15Medium
Next matchup — vs BAL
Sep 27, 2026
9thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
BAL allows 11.8 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 5 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, George Pickens has gone over 15.5 FS 3 of 10 decided times (30%) — versus 44% across the full season. BAL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 9th-most FS of 32 teams (11.8 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 9.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 44%.
More George Pickens research
George Pickens — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Pickens Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Pickens Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Pickens Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.