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New York GiantsJaxson Dart
#6 · QB · 6' 2" · 223 lb · 11 games
Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ole Miss
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Passing Yards · season avg 203.5 PASS YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Passing Yards (PASS YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutJaxson Dart isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Harbaugh highlighted Dart's ability to "live in a lot of different worlds," taking looks from under center, shotgun and pistol, which "opens up" play action, RPOs and designed quarterback runs that can take advantage of the second-year quarterback's talents as a runner. Dart impressed as a rookie and now enters Year 2 with a coaching staff willing to lean into his athleticism with built-in designed movement and RPO concepts. His true upside will likely depend on what New York's pass-to-run ratio looks like, and how successfully he's able to stay on the field after taking too many hits as a rookie. Harbaugh said he "trust[s]" Dart's ability to better protect himself in Year 2.
Verdict
vs 214.5 PASS YDSPassing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)86supports it
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency62supports it
Projection
214.7 PASS YDS(×1.02 context)
L5 212.8 · L10 212.8 · med 204.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 191.0 · ceil 242.0
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2011 games
36%over
4 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%Season11 games
36%over
4 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 15%–65%Situational splits
Over 214.5 PASS YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home40%2/5Low
Away33%2/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days40%4/10Low
With a teammate out
How this PASS YDS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.
Cam Skattebo out+12.4 PASS YDS when he sits
Without (6g)
209.2 PASS YDS
50% over 214.5
With (5g)
196.8 PASS YDS
20% over 214.5
Last matchup — vs DAL
Jan 4, 2026
4thof 32 in PASS YDS allowed to quarterbacks
DAL allows 251.2 PASS YDS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 18 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jaxson Dart has gone over 214.5 PASS YDS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 36% across the full season. DAL has been a favorable matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 4th-most PASS YDS of 32 teams (251.2 per game). His game-to-game PASS YDS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 46.1), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 36%.