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New York GiantsJaxson Dart Completions
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jaxson Dart has gone over 20 CMP in 4 of his last 9 decided games (44%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Ole Miss
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Completions · season avg 19.3 CMP · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Completions (CMP)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutJaxson Dart isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Dart delivered a superb performance with both his arm and his legs. He threw touchdown passes of 15 and two yards to Isaiah Likely, as well as a nine-yard touchdown pass to Devin Singletary. Dart also finished second on the team in rushing yards, 27 shy of Cam Skattebo's 81. The mobile QB completed all eight of his pass attempts to Likely and showed promising chemistry with wide receiver Malik Nabers (knee), who suited up after being listed as questionable heading into Sunday night's season opener. Dart and the Giants will play in primetime again in Week 2, when they visit the Rams on Monday Night Football.
Verdict
vs 20 CMPCompletionsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 46% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)61supports it
Projection vs line46neutral
Consistency65supports it
Projection
21.0 CMP(×1.02 context)
L5 20.8 · L10 19.3 · med 19.5
Consistency
Steady
floor 15.4 · ceil 22.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
75%over
3 over · 1 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%Last 1010 games
44%over
4 over · 5 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 19%–73%Last 2012 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Season12 games
45%over
5 over · 6 under · 1 push
Low confidence95% CI 21%–72%Situational splits
Over 20 CMP by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home60%3/5Low
Away33%2/6Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%5/10Low
Next matchup — @ LAR
Sep 22, 2026
5thof 32 in CMP allowed to quarterbacks
LAR allows 25.0 CMP per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 1 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jaxson Dart has gone over 20 CMP 4 of 9 decided times (44%) — versus 45% across the full season. LAR has been a favorable matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 5th-most CMP of 32 teams (25.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game CMP have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 4.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Line shopping — Completions (CMP)
Each book’s line and your season under rate at that number, vs the market consensus (19.75 CMP). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
under rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 45%.
More Jaxson Dart research
Jaxson Dart — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Dart Passing TDs→
Passing TDs hit rates and trends.
Dart Rushing Yards→
Rushing Yards hit rates and trends.
Dart Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)→
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.