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Cleveland BrownsJerry Jeudy Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jerry Jeudy has gone over 5.5 FS in 4 of his last 10 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 7.6 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJerry Jeudy isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Jeudy couldn't improve on his 2-26-0 receiving line (on four targets) during the Browns' Week 1 loss to the Jaguars. The seventh-year pro played 34 of 58 offensive snaps Sunday (58.6 percent), third-most among Cleveland wide receivers behind rookies Denzel Boston (54) and KC Concepcion (38). Jeudy finished the 2025 regular season with the second-most receiving yards on the Browns, but it appears Boston, Concepcion, tight end Harold Fannin and even running back Quinshon Judkins are the preferred targets for Deshaun Watson to open the season. Jeudy will look for better results in Cleveland's home opener against Carolina on Sept. 27.
Verdict
vs 5.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 54% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)56neutral
Projection vs line54neutral
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
5.6 FS(×0.83 context)
L5 5.5 · L10 7.8 · med 4.8
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 4.2 · ceil 10.4
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
20%over
1 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%Last 1010 games
40%over
4 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 17%–69%Last 2016 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Season16 games
50%over
8 over · 8 under
Medium confidence95% CI 28%–72%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 16/16 | ||
| 93% | 14/15 | ||
| 63% | 10/16 | ||
| 5.5Current | 50% | 8/16 | |
| 44% | 7/16 | ||
| 44% | 7/16 | ||
| 38% | 6/16 |
Situational splits
Over 5.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home44%4/9Low
Away57%4/7Low
Days since last game
3+ days47%7/15Low
Next matchup — vs CAR
Sep 27, 2026
27thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
CAR allows 6.4 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 8 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Jerry Jeudy has gone over 5.5 FS 4 of 10 decided times (40%) — versus 50% across the full season. CAR has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 27th-most FS of 32 teams (6.4 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 4.8), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Jerry Jeudy research
Jerry Jeudy — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Jeudy Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Jeudy Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Jeudy Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.