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Cleveland BrownsJerry Jeudy Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jerry Jeudy has gone over 6.5 FS in 2 of his last 5 decided games (40%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Alabama
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 6.6 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJerry Jeudy isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Quarterback Deshaun Watson had a relatively productive day with 324 passing yards (albeit without a score), but Jeudy was on the receiving end of only one of his passes. The veteran wideout logged his usual amount of playing time, notching a 60 percent offensive snap share to finish third among Cleveland wide receivers. It was the third time this season Jeudy has finished without a catch, but the other two instances were in Weeks 3 and 4, and he had been more involved of late, averaging 3.5 catches and 36.3 receiving yards over his previous four games. With that in mind, he could get back on track in Week 9 against a New Orleans defense that has been middle-of-the-pack against wideouts this year.
Verdict
vs 6.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)79supports it
Projection vs line59neutral
Consistency43neutral
Matchup50neutral
Projection
6.2 FS(×0.91 context)
L5 6.6 · L10 6.6 · med 6.1
Consistency
Variable
floor 4.8 · ceil 7.5
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 105 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 205 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Season5 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 100% | 5/5 | ||
| 60% | 3/5 | ||
| 6.5Current | 40% | 2/5 | |
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 | ||
| 20% | 1/5 |
Situational splits
Over 6.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%2/2Low
Away0%0/3Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%2/4Low
Next matchup — @ NO
Nov 8, 2026
18thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
NO allows 9.2 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 22 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 5 games, Jerry Jeudy has gone over 6.5 FS 2 of 5 decided times (40%) — versus 40% across the full season. NO has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 18th-most FS of 32 teams (9.2 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 2.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 40%.
More Jerry Jeudy research
Jerry Jeudy — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Jeudy Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Jeudy Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Jeudy Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.