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San Francisco 49ersJordan James
#29 · RB · 5' 9" · 208 lb · 2 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 1 of these 2 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Oregon
- Experience
- 3 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 21.5 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutJordan James isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Most of James' on-field work Sunday came on special teams. Both of his touches on offense happened on back-to-back plays in the second quarter, coinciding with the absence of Christian McCaffrey, the latter of whom was playing through a thigh injury during most of Sunday's contest. The only way James would see consistent playing time on offense is if one of McCaffrey or rookie Kaelon Black were to miss time. The 49ers will get some additional rest thanks to the Week 8 bye, and their next game takes place Week 9 against the Raiders on Sunday, Nov. 8.
Verdict
vs 21.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 72% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)50neutral
Projection vs line72supports it
Consistency50neutral
Matchup100supports it
Projection
25.2 RUSH YDS(×1.19 context)
L5 21.5 · L10 21.5 · med 21.5
Consistency
Variable
floor 17.6 · ceil 25.4
Matchup
A
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 52 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 102 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Last 202 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Season2 games
50%over
1 over · 1 under
Low confidence95% CI 9%–91%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 21.5Current | 50% | 1/2 | |
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 | ||
| 50% | 1/2 |
Situational splits
Over 21.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home0%0/1Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days0%0/1Low
Next matchup — vs LV
Nov 8, 2026
1stof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
LV allows 68.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
FavorableThe read
Over his last 2 games, Jordan James has gone over 21.5 RUSH YDS 1 of 2 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. LV has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 1st-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (68.3 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 6.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.