
Stats updated: Oct 25, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Jordan James has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD in 0 of his last 2 decided games (0%), measured against our typical-game line.
Most of James' on-field work Sunday came on special teams. Both of his touches on offense happened on back-to-back plays in the second quarter, coinciding with the absence of Christian McCaffrey, the latter of whom was playing through a thigh injury during most of Sunday's contest. The only way James would see consistent playing time on offense is if one of McCaffrey or rookie Kaelon Black were to miss time. The 49ers will get some additional rest thanks to the Week 8 bye, and their next game takes place Week 9 against the Raiders on Sunday, Nov. 8.
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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RUSH TD over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5Current | 0% | 0/2 | |
| 0% | 0/2 | ||
| 0% | 0/2 | ||
| 0% | 0/2 |
Over 0.5 RUSH TD by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
LV allows 0.5 RUSH TD per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 15 player-games
FavorableOver his last 2 games, Jordan James has gone over 0.5 RUSH TD 0 of 2 decided times (0%) — versus 0% across the full season. LV has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 6th-most RUSH TD of 32 teams (0.5 per game). His game-to-game RUSH TD have been variable (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 0%.
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