Buffalo Bills

Khalil Shakir Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Khalil Shakir has gone over 9 FS in 3 of his last 4 decided games (75%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Boise State
Experience: 6 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 10.8 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutKhalil Shakir isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Shakir initially appeared to get in the end zone for a six-yard touchdown early in the first quarter, but he was ruled out at the one-yard line after review. Josh Allen then punched in the one-yard touchdown two plays later. On the day, Shakir paced the Bills with his five grabs and tied for second on the team in targets, one behind DJ Moore. Shakir has yet to hit 100 yards in a game this season and has just one touchdown, settling in as a low-ceiling WR4 in fantasy, especially when both Moore and Dalton Kincaid are healthy.

Verdict

vs 9 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 71% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line71supports it

Consistency61supports it

Matchup25argues against it

Projection

10.5 FS(×0.95 context)

L5 10.8 · L10 10.8 · med 11.4

Consistency

Steady

floor 8.6 · ceil 13.2

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

75%over

3 over · 1 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%

Last 105 games

75%over

3 over · 1 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%

Last 205 games

75%over

3 over · 1 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%

Season5 games

75%over

3 over · 1 under · 1 push

Low confidence95% CI 30%–95%

Last 5 games — FS per game vs. line 9.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 9 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home67%2/3Low

Away100%1/1Low

Days since last game

3+ days75%3/4Low

Next matchup — @ MIN

Nov 10, 2026

25thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

MIN allows 8.4 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 21 player-games

Tough

The read

Over his last 5 games, Khalil Shakir has gone over 9 FS 3 of 4 decided times (75%) — versus 75% across the full season. MIN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 25th-most FS of 32 teams (8.4 per game). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 2.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 75%.