Los Angeles Chargers

Oronde Gadsden Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Oronde Gadsden has gone over 10.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Syracuse
Experience: 3 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 10.4 FS · our line

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OutOronde Gadsden isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Gadsden's 10 snaps on offense were a distant third among Chargers tight ends behind Charlie Kolar and David Njoku (30 each), with Gadsden also seeing the field for eight snaps on special teams. The second-year tight end did connect with Justin Herbert on a 26-yard pass in the second quarter, and Gadsden could see his role in the passing game expand Week 2 against the Raiders if wide receiver Ladd McConkey (ribs) were to be sidelined.

Verdict

vs 10.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 59% under

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)73supports it

Projection vs line59neutral

Consistency0argues against it

Projection

8.9 FS(×0.97 context)

L5 7.2 · L10 11.2 · med 10.9

Consistency

Boom-Bust

floor 4.6 · ceil 12.1

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

20%over

1 over · 4 under

Low confidence95% CI 4%–62%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2012 games

42%over

5 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%

Season12 games

42%over

5 over · 7 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–68%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	58%	7/12
	58%	7/12
	58%	7/12
10.5Current	42%	5/12
	42%	5/12
	17%	2/12
	17%	2/12

Last 12 games — FS per game vs. line 10.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 10.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home50%3/6Low

Away33%2/6Low

Days since last game

3+ days45%5/11Low

Next matchup — vs LV

Sep 20, 2026

30thof 32 in FS allowed to tight ends

LV allows 1.9 FS per game to tight ends (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Oronde Gadsden has gone over 10.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 42% across the full season. LV has been a tough matchup for tight ends this season, allowing the 30th-most FS of 32 teams (1.9 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.3), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 42%.