Jacksonville Jaguars

Parker Washington Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Parker Washington has gone over 12 FS in 7 of his last 10 decided games (70%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Penn State
Experience: 5 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 16.9 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutParker Washington isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Washington led the Jaguars in all of receptions, receiving yards and targets, and his impressive 30-yard touchdown grab in the first quarter kicked off a prolific afternoon for Jacksonville's offense. Washington, whose late-season surge in 2025 has put him in line for an extension, certainly benefits from the strong start to the new season in that regard, and he should remain a focal point despite a tough Week 2 road matchup against the Broncos next Sunday.

Verdict

vs 12 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 85% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line85supports it

Consistency45neutral

Projection

19.8 FS(×1.05 context)

L5 21.7 · L10 17.3 · med 18.6

Consistency

Variable

floor 11.9 · ceil 19.7

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

100%over

5 over · 0 under

Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%

Last 1010 games

70%over

7 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 40%–89%

Last 2011 games

73%over

8 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 43%–90%

Season11 games

73%over

8 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 43%–90%

Last 11 games — FS per game vs. line 12.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 12 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home60%3/5Low

Away83%5/6Low

Days since last game

3+ days70%7/10Low

Next matchup — @ DEN

Sep 20, 2026

26thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

DEN allows 7.3 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 2 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Tough

The read

Over his last 10 games, Parker Washington has gone over 12 FS 7 of 10 decided times (70%) — versus 73% across the full season. DEN has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 26th-most FS of 32 teams (7.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 5.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 73%.