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Philadelphia EaglesTank Bigsby
#8 · RB · 5' 11" · 215 lb · 8 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 7 of these 8 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Auburn
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 46.4 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTank Bigsby isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
The fourth-year RB got the Eagles on the board in the second quarter with a two-yard TD plunge, and Bigsby led the backfield in totes and rushing yards after Saquon Barkley picked up a stinger on the first play from scrimmage. Barkley was able to return after halftime, but he'll be sent for further testing and isn't guaranteed to be 100 percent for a Week 3 road trip to Chicago. If he's sidelined or has his workload scaled back, Bigsby would be poised to benefit.
Verdict
vs 8.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 94% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line94supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
47.6 RUSH YDS(×1.10 context)
L5 44.2 · L10 46.4 · med 35.5
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 24.6 · ceil 67.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
100%over
5 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 57%–100%Last 108 games
100%over
8 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 68%–100%Last 208 games
100%over
8 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 68%–100%Season8 games
100%over
8 over · 0 under
Medium confidence95% CI 68%–100%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 8/8 | ||
| 100% | 8/8 | ||
| 100% | 8/8 | ||
| 8.5Current | 100% | 8/8 | |
| 100% | 8/8 | ||
| 100% | 8/8 | ||
| 100% | 8/8 |
Situational splits
Over 8.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home100%6/6Medium
Away100%2/2Low
Days since last game
3+ days100%7/7Medium
Next matchup — @ CHI
Sep 29, 2026
13thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
CHI allows 49.0 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 4 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
NeutralThe read
Over his last 8 games, Tank Bigsby has gone over 8.5 RUSH YDS 8 of 8 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. CHI has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 13th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (49.0 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 28.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Market edgeauto
3 books @ 18.5 RUSH YDS- No-vig fair (over)
- 50.0%
- No-vig fair (under)
- 50.0%
Best Over
Caesars-112
-5.4% EV
Best Under
FanDuel-113
-5.8% EV
Model vs market (over)+44.3%
Our model puts the over at 94.3% vs the market's no-vig 50.0%. A comparison of two numbers — not a guarantee.
Line shopping — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Each book’s line and your season over rate at that number, vs the market consensus (18 RUSH YDS). A softer number you’d clear more often is a discount — the best one lifts the FireFactor read. Click a book to switch the whole read to it.
over rate = season hit rate at that line. Edge = points of hit rate vs the consensus line. Descriptive research from past games — not betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.