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Philadelphia EaglesTank Bigsby
#4 · RB · 5' 11" · 215 lb · 7 games
Stats updated: Jan 11, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Auburn
- Experience
- 5 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 48.3 RUSH YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTank Bigsby isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Bigsby was acquired from the Jaguars prior to Week 2 last season, and he went on to rush for 344 yards and two touchdowns on 58 carries across 16 regular-season appearances for Philadelphia. His 5.9 yards per carry would have ranked first in the NFL if Bigsby had enough carries to qualify. Though the Eagles also currently employ Will Shipley, Dameon Pierce and Elijah Mitchell at running back, Bigsby appears set to be Barkley's clear No. 2 and someone who will be worth stashing on fantasy benches in the event of a Barkley injury.
Verdict
vs 36.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 65% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)71supports it
Projection vs line65supports it
Consistency0argues against it
Projection
49.7 RUSH YDS(×1.07 context)
L5 44.4 · L10 48.3 · med 37.0
Consistency
Boom-Bust
floor 22.0 · ceil 71.4
Matchup
C
defense vs role
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 107 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Last 207 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Season7 games
57%over
4 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–84%Alternate lines — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
RUSH YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 5/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 57% | 4/7 | ||
| 36.5Current | 57% | 4/7 | |
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 | ||
| 43% | 3/7 |
Situational splits
Over 36.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%3/6Low
Away100%1/1Low
Days since last game
3+ days67%4/6Low
Last matchup — vs SF
Jan 11, 2026
15thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
SF allows 48.9 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 37 player-games
NeutralThe read
Over his last 7 games, Tank Bigsby has gone over 36.5 RUSH YDS 4 of 7 decided times (57%) — versus 57% across the full season. SF has been a middling matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 15th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (48.9 per game). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 30.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 57%.