Loading…
New Orleans SaintsTravis Etienne Jr.
#3 · RB · 5' 10" · 215 lb · 19 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 17 of these 19 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Clemson
- Experience
- 7 seasons
Line
Rushing Yards · season avg 63.2 RUSH YDS · PrizePicks lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
PrizePicks payout options — Rushing Yards (RUSH YDS)
Pick any line — standard, demon (harder, pays more), goblin (easier, pays less), or an alternate with its payout multiplier — and the whole read updates to it. Only the standard line takes an under; every other variant pays the over only. Each rung’s FireFactor is scored against its OWN payout breakeven — 0 means fairly priced for that payout, not a coin flip — so rungs compare directly. The bar uses the best information available: an exact posted multiplier, else the market’s de-vigged sportsbook odds at that exact line, else a published-payout approximation.
How PrizePicks payouts work with demons & goblins
Typical entry payouts (verify in the app — they change and can vary by state): Power Play 2-pick 3×, 3-pick 5×, 4-pick 10×. Flex Play 3-pick 2.25× (1.25× one miss), 4-pick 5× (1.5× one miss), 5-pick 10× (2× / 0.4× on misses), 6-pick 25× (2× / 0.4× on misses).
Demons: Adding a demon raises the whole entry’s payout multiple (a harder line buys a bigger multiplier). Demons can only be taken as More.
Goblins: Adding a goblin lowers the whole entry’s payout multiple (an easier line costs payout). Goblins can only be taken as More and aren’t combinable with everything — the app shows the exact adjusted payout.
OutOutTravis Etienne Jr. isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
After being heavily involved as a pass catcher in his New Orleans debut last week, Etienne saw his touch volume take a steep drop as Alvin Kamara returned to the lineup and saw six targets, catching five of them. The lack of usage for Etienne in curious considering the big contract the Saints gave him this offseason, and through two games the former Jaguar has just 17 carries for 71 yards, along with a 9-38-0 line on 11 targets. Without bigger volume, he'll be a risky play in Week 3 at home against the Raiders.
Verdict
vs 41.5 RUSH YDSRushing YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 64% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it
Projection vs line64supports it
Consistency18argues against it
Projection
47.6 RUSH YDS(×0.93 context)
L5 49.2 · L10 51.6 · med 48.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 32.0 · ceil 79.2
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2019 games
74%over
14 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 51%–88%Season19 games
74%over
14 over · 5 under
Medium confidence95% CI 51%–88%Situational splits
Over 41.5 RUSH YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home67%6/9Low
Away80%8/10Low
Days since last game
3+ days72%13/18Medium
Next matchup — vs LV
Sep 27, 2026
10thof 32 in RUSH YDS allowed to running backs
LV allows 51.3 RUSH YDS per game to running backs (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Travis Etienne Jr. has gone over 41.5 RUSH YDS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 74% across the full season. LV has been a favorable matchup for running backs this season, allowing the 10th-most RUSH YDS of 32 teams (51.3 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game RUSH YDS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 30.9), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 74%.