Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Deshaun Watson has gone over 13 FS in 1 of his last 1 decided games (100%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Clemson
Experience: 11 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 15.0 FS · PrizePicks line

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OutDeshaun Watson isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Watson will retain the starting job, despite a poor showing Sunday in the Browns' 34-10 season-opening loss to the Jaguars. While making his first regular-season appearance since Oct. 20, 2024, Watson completed 16 of 22 pass attempts for 205 yards, one touchdown and one interception while rushing six times for 38 yards. Upon reviewing film of the game, Monken said he saw enough positives from Watson to stick with him as the team's starter, though the 31-year-old quarterback likely won't have much job security.

Verdict

vs 13 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 100% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)100supports it

Projection vs line95supports it

Consistency100supports it

Projection

13.8 FS(×0.92 context)

L5 15.0 · L10 15.0 · med 15.0

Consistency

Steady

floor 15.0 · ceil 15.0

Matchup

small sample

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 51 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 101 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 201 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Season1 game

100%over

1 over · 0 under

Low confidence95% CI 21%–100%

Last 1 games — FS per game vs. line 13.0. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 13 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Away100%1/1Low

Next matchup — @ TB

Sep 20, 2026

20thof 32 in FS allowed to quarterbacks

TB allows 15.2 FS per game to quarterbacks (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 1 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution

Neutral

The read

Over his last 1 games, Deshaun Watson has gone over 13 FS 1 of 1 decided times (100%) — versus 100% across the full season. TB has been a middling matchup for quarterbacks this season, allowing the 20th-most FS of 32 teams (15.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been fairly steady (σ ≈ 0.0), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 100%.