Loading…
Cincinnati BengalsTee Higgins
#5 · WR · 6' 4" · 220 lb · 13 games
Too few games this season to read on their own, so 11 of these 13 are carried over from last season. Expect this read to move as the season fills in.
Stats updated: Sep 20, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Clemson
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Receiving Yards · season avg 65.8 REC YDS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTee Higgins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Higgins' receiving yardage and target totals paced the Bengals on the afternoon, and he finished second only to Ja'Marr Chase in receiving yards. The talented wide receiver duo accounted for 12 of Joe Burrow's 20 completions against a tough Texans defense, and Higgins now is averaging an elite 19.3 yards per reception on his first eight catches of the 2026 season. The veteran speedster will aim to continue thriving downfield in a Week 3 road matchup against the Steelers next Sunday.
Verdict
vs 62.5 REC YDSReceiving YardsNo readFireFactor 0/100· model 60% over
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)45neutral
Projection vs line60supports it
Consistency30argues against it
Projection
75.0 REC YDS(×1.06 context)
L5 74.4 · L10 74.5 · med 65.0
Consistency
Variable
floor 41.6 · ceil 93.8
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
Book links are referral links — we may earn a commission. It never affects the numbers on this page.
Last 55 games
60%over
3 over · 2 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%Last 1010 games
60%over
6 over · 4 under
Low confidence95% CI 31%–83%Last 2013 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Season13 games
46%over
6 over · 7 under
Low confidence95% CI 23%–71%Alternate lines — Receiving Yards (REC YDS)
REC YDS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 54% | 7/13 | ||
| 62.5Current | 46% | 6/13 | |
| 38% | 5/13 | ||
| 38% | 5/13 | ||
| 38% | 5/13 |
Situational splits
Over 62.5 REC YDS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home38%3/8Low
Away60%3/5Low
Days since last game
3+ days50%6/12Low
Next matchup — @ PIT
Sep 27, 2026
30thof 32 in REC YDS allowed to wide receivers
PIT allows 30.2 REC YDS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 6 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
ToughThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tee Higgins has gone over 62.5 REC YDS 6 of 10 decided times (60%) — versus 46% across the full season. PIT has been a tough matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 30th-most REC YDS of 32 teams (30.2 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game REC YDS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 27.7), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 46%.