Cincinnati Bengals

Tee Higgins Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Jan 4, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tee Higgins has gone over 14.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Clemson
Experience: 8 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 15.9 FS · our line

Save this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it

OutTee Higgins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Higgins continues to form one of the NFL's top receiving tandems alongside Chase, with Andrei Iosivas still positioned as a capable No. 3 complement. The 27-year-old tallied a 79-1,034-9 receiving line across 14 regular-season appearances in 2025, and with Joe Burrow healthy plus veteran backup Joe Flacco returning, Cincinnati's passing game appears well positioned entering 2026. Higgins inked a four-year, $115 million contract with the Bengals last offseason and will remain in a productive environment for the foreseeable future. Running back Chase Brown and tight end Mike Gesicki will also factor into the passing game, but Higgins and Chase are established as the clear top targets for Burrow.

Verdict

vs 14.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 57% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)62supports it

Projection vs line57neutral

Consistency20argues against it

Projection

16.4 FS(×0.99 context)

L5 15.8 · L10 16.0 · med 13.3

Consistency

Variable

floor 9.9 · ceil 21.6

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 1010 games

50%over

5 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%

Last 2011 games

55%over

6 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%

Season11 games

55%over

6 over · 5 under

Low confidence95% CI 28%–79%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	55%	6/11
	55%	6/11
	55%	6/11
14.5Current	55%	6/11
	36%	4/11
	36%	4/11
	36%	4/11

Last 11 games — FS per game vs. line 14.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 14.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home57%4/7Low

Away50%2/4Low

Days since last game

3+ days50%5/10Low

With a teammate out

How this FS line has shifted when an injured teammate sits — usage often rises. Descriptive splits from past games, not a forecast.

Joe Burrow out-2.6 FS when he sits

Without (7g)

15.0 FS

43% over 14.5

With (4g)

17.6 FS

75% over 14.5

Last matchup — vs CLE

Jan 4, 2026

19thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

CLE allows 9.2 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 49 player-games

Neutral

The read

Over his last 10 games, Tee Higgins has gone over 14.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 55% across the full season. CLE has been a middling matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 19th-most FS of 32 teams (9.2 per game). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.6), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 55%.