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Cincinnati BengalsTee Higgins Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)
Stats updated: Sep 13, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.
Tee Higgins has gone over 13.5 FS in 5 of his last 10 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.
- Draft
- Undrafted
- College
- Clemson
- Experience
- 8 seasons
Line
Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 15.3 FS · our lineSave this PrizePicks prop to your Playbook to track it
OutOutTee Higgins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.
Higgins tied for second in receptions and targets while also serving as the runner-up in receiving yards for the Bengals on an afternoon in which Joe Burrow spread the ball around to nine different targets. The veteran wideout also had a team-high 29-yard reception on one of his three grabs, while his final one of the day went for 18 yards for a key first down on the Bengals' game-sealing drive. Much more productive days are surely in store for Cincinnati's air attack, and a Week 2 road matchup against the Texans next Sunday doesn't seem as daunting after Houston's defense was repeatedly victimized by the Bills in Week 1.
Verdict
vs 13.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)No readFireFactor 0/100· model 50% under
Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)51neutral
Projection vs line50neutral
Consistency18argues against it
Projection
14.1 FS(×0.95 context)
L5 14.6 · L10 16.3 · med 13.3
Consistency
Variable
floor 9.1 · ceil 21.0
Matchup
NR
small sample
Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.
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Last 55 games
40%over
2 over · 3 under
Low confidence95% CI 12%–77%Last 1010 games
50%over
5 over · 5 under
Low confidence95% CI 24%–76%Last 2012 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Season12 games
50%over
6 over · 6 under
Low confidence95% CI 25%–75%Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)
FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.
| Line | Over | O / U | Confidence interval |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 8/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 13.5Current | 50% | 6/12 | |
| 50% | 6/12 | ||
| 33% | 4/12 | ||
| 33% | 4/12 |
Situational splits
Over 13.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.
Home / Away
Home50%4/8Low
Away50%2/4Low
Days since last game
3+ days45%5/11Low
Next matchup — @ HOU
Sep 20, 2026
7thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers
HOU allows 13.5 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).
Sample: 3 player-gameslow sample — interpret with caution
FavorableThe read
Over his last 10 games, Tee Higgins has gone over 13.5 FS 5 of 10 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. HOU has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 7th-most FS of 32 teams (13.5 per game) (small sample — read with caution). His game-to-game FS have been highly variable (σ ≈ 7.5), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.
Fair-price calculator
Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.
Edge vs
Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.
More Tee Higgins research
Tee Higgins — full profile→
Every stat, splits, chart, and matchup.
Higgins Receptions→
Receptions hit rates and trends.
Higgins Targets→
Targets hit rates and trends.
Higgins Receiving TDs→
Receiving TDs hit rates and trends.
Defense vs Position→
Which opponents inflate or suppress this prop.
NFL Heat Check→
The strongest reads across the league.
Descriptive research from public game logs — hit rates describe past games and are not predictions, picks, or betting advice.