Cincinnati Bengals

Tee Higgins Fantasy Score (PrizePicks)

Stats updated: Nov 1, 2026 — nightly box scores, not live.

Tee Higgins has gone over 23.5 FS in 3 of his last 6 decided games (50%), measured against our typical-game line.

Draft: Undrafted
College: Clemson
Experience: 8 seasons

Line

PrizePicksFantasy Score (PrizePicks) · season avg 22.6 FS · our line

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OutTee Higgins isn't expected to play — the read below describes past games only.

Higgins led the Bengals' air attack in receiving yards and touchdown catches on a day when Joe Burrow threw for 462 yards and five touchdown passes overall. Higgins was responsible for a pair, making 17- and 18-yard scoring grabs in the second half. The latter erased a 36-29 deficit with 1:17 remaining in regulation to help force overtime, and Higgins now has at least 148 receiving yards in three of the last four games and a pair of TD catches in two straight. The veteran has essentially moved into a true 1-A role alongside Ja'Marr Chase in the passing attack, and Higgins will look to carry the massive momentum into a Week 9 matchup against a vulnerable Falcons secondary in Madrid next Sunday.

Verdict

vs 23.5 FSFantasy Score (PrizePicks)

No readFireFactor 0/100· model 75% over

Hit rate (confidence-adjusted)52neutral

Projection vs line75supports it

Consistency32argues against it

Matchup75supports it

Projection

30.4 FS(×1.21 context)

L5 25.3 · L10 22.6 · med 23.9

Consistency

Variable

floor 14.5 · ceil 26.8

Matchup

defense vs role

Player is Out — no read on this line.Small samples and hot streaks are discounted by a 95% Wilson lower bound (the trust factor), so a thin streak can’t masquerade as an edge.

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Last 55 games

60%over

3 over · 2 under

Low confidence95% CI 23%–88%

Last 106 games

50%over

3 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%

Last 206 games

50%over

3 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%

Season6 games

50%over

3 over · 3 under

Low confidence95% CI 19%–81%

Alternate lines — Fantasy Score (PrizePicks) (FS)

FS over rate across nearby lines (season) — find where the edge holds or flips. The bar shows the 95% Wilson interval; the dot is the point estimate. Click a line to run the full read at that number.

Over hit rate and 95% Wilson confidence interval at each alternate FS line, season window
Line	Over	O / U
	67%	4/6
	50%	3/6
	50%	3/6
23.5Current	50%	3/6
	50%	3/6
	50%	3/6
	50%	3/6

Last 6 games — FS per game vs. line 23.5. Warm = over, cool = under.

Situational splits

Over 23.5 FS by situation, each with its own confidence — thin splits read Low, so a small-sample “crushes at home” doesn’t masquerade as an edge.

Home / Away

Home67%2/3Low

Away33%1/3Low

Days since last game

3+ days60%3/5Low

Next matchup — @ ATL

Nov 8, 2026

10thof 32 in FS allowed to wide receivers

ATL allows 10.5 FS per game to wide receivers (rank 1 = allows the most).

Sample: 23 player-games

Favorable

The read

Over his last 6 games, Tee Higgins has gone over 23.5 FS 3 of 6 decided times (50%) — versus 50% across the full season. ATL has been a favorable matchup for wide receivers this season, allowing the 10th-most FS of 32 teams (10.5 per game). His game-to-game FS have been moderately variable (σ ≈ 9.2), so short streaks can mislead. These are descriptive stats about past games, not predictions or betting advice.

Fair-price calculator

Enter the book's American odds to see implied probability, the no-vig fair price, and the edge vs. this player's season hit rate.

Over oddsUnder odds

Edge vs

Hit rate excludes pushes from the denominator. Confidence uses a 95% Wilson interval — a high recent rate on few games still reads as low confidence. Season over rate at this line: 50%.